Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 106.037923 116.774444 127.685840 139.580103 152.155847 165.032782 179.190722
2026-01-18 90.204460 106.375025 123.490868 142.851235 164.038594 186.423337 211.763587
2026-01-25 72.489527 91.748850 112.986713 137.881936 166.010806 196.572971 232.055195
2026-02-01 59.664526 80.961485 105.388805 134.978326 169.372136 207.650570 253.038630
2026-02-08 50.394490 73.151175 100.241537 134.050096 174.338679 220.108341 275.342640
2026-02-15 43.951423 67.968941 97.552743 135.460560 181.611343 234.952437 300.262687
2026-02-22 40.021107 65.464814 97.747581 140.042136 192.445310 253.858123 329.917370
2026-03-01 35.672488 61.893364 96.191355 142.133120 200.039054 268.808836 354.907210
2026-03-08 30.864390 57.145474 92.670563 141.372057 203.841376 279.028187 374.176496
2026-03-15 27.720200 54.403821 91.528452 143.438307 211.003347 293.219754 398.173484
2026-03-22 25.759424 53.186274 92.296304 147.889321 221.118504 311.019393 426.583739
2026-03-29 23.448670 51.172053 91.761916 150.460174 228.736940 325.703372 451.227035
2026-04-05 21.574736 49.715016 91.976120 154.089015 237.868213 342.509071 478.831402
2026-04-12 19.639639 47.952557 91.615445 156.856033 245.864774 357.948974 504.884272
2026-04-19 15.843391 42.519734 85.430580 151.199606 242.492003 358.860014 512.825540
2026-04-26 13.092196 38.532420 81.116902 147.915452 242.072627 363.379215 525.167123
2026-05-03 11.134520 35.739819 78.447361 146.820579 244.484480 371.457039 541.947320
2026-05-10 9.868121 34.137746 77.563676 148.254033 250.307234 383.944865 564.338234
2026-05-17 9.300863 33.934452 78.953200 153.070642 260.837976 402.636058 594.717565
2026-05-24 8.364239 32.775681 78.642955 155.264334 267.687448 416.507942 618.990949
2026-05-31 7.089708 30.608122 76.441506 154.449137 270.225668 424.648608 635.906656
2026-06-07 6.357002 29.613016 76.212402 156.629047 276.984495 438.395828 660.084766
2026-06-14 6.003294 29.529140 77.594227 161.331557 287.371364 457.031289 690.665576